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Cases |
Deaths |
Samples tested |

Covid-19 data
| Current situation | Religious bigotry |

We are getting signs of outbreak heading towards peak!

It is now clearly visible that the red curve is dominating the blue one, an indication of exponential spike, authorities should be on alert mode!** We are projecting if not managed properly, cases may end up touching 700k-900k line!**

The migrant worker's crisis

On one hand govt is treating migrant workers worst than animals and drinking their blood by forcing them to measure hundreds of kilometers of road without food, while on the other hand disrespectful and totally disgraceful enslaved puppet of govt the so called supreme court of India abdicated poor migrant workers! Read article

THE DEATH CURVE(A.K.A. C.F.R.)

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Why analysis of statistics on death in a pandemic is so important !? The answer is simple, while other parameters like number of tests, recoveries, burden on healthcare system, %ge of people tested positive, are not fixed and may change based on different regions and different healthcare systems across the world, the I.F.R.(infection fatality rate) is a **'not so fluctuating'** quantity unlike the other parameters. The I.F.R. is referred as number of deaths taking place out of total number of people getting infected. While C.F.R. is case fatality rate, referred as number of deaths taking place out of the total number of **cases.**

What is the meaning of nonlinear growth in C.F.R.

Though I.F.R. may be a fixed quantity for a country dealing with pandemic, the C.F.R. totally depends on the testing capacity of that country. If a country is dealing with higher fatality rate than the other parts of the world, chances are: that country is still behind the curve when it comes to testing capacity and a large number of infected people are not being tested yet, they can be both symptomatic & asymptomatic. So the C.F.R. curve or death curve is an early warning system. In case of India the C.F.R. curve (as shown in the graph above) has a nonlinear growth, but the growth is saturating so one can easily say that the number of cases are higher than what GOI is claiming right now and chances are that many of them are asymptomatic but the **further exponential growth** in number of deaths is less likely.

A positive thing, many of us are not taking notice of...!?

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

The active cases(in comparison of total number of cases) are continuously decreasing, while number of recoveries(in comparison of total number of cases) are continuously increasing, and death curve is significantly flat!

# of tests conducted in a day

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Last updated: June , 9AM IST. The continuous decrease in this parameter is a matter of concern.

Cumulative overview of inflow and outflow of cases

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Blue=outflow of cases(recoveries+deaths), Green=Active Cases, Green+blue=Total number of cases

Scan my Data

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Overview of all parameters

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Deaths in a day

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Recoveries in a day

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

How the average(of 'percentage of people tested positive in a day, out of the total number of tests conducted in a day') is moving!

The orange line is showing the movement of average so far we have been able to witness, while the other two **extended light-blue(or skyblue) and pink** lines are showing future projections of worst and best case scenarios respectively, based on mathematical model. The worst case scenario is predicted, based on the assumption of the linear growth in the %ge of people tested positive.(With the slope of **'growth in percentage'** is 0 degree(from the +ve side of the X-axis)). And best case scenario is an ideal situation based on the assumption that no one is tested positive out of the total number of people tested in the days ahead to come. Obviously the best case scenario is almost impossible in real world, but it provides us a desire to achieve goal.

The case of India should have fallen somewhere in between the projected future window in the graph given below. In easy language more we'll be closer to the pink line, more we'll be safe. The performance of govt is so bad that they even surpassed worst case scenario projection(take a look at graph given below)**(Graphics created by me [rohit yadav]. You are free to use this data, I'll not claim copyright)**

Are we moving towards worst?

Last updated: June 12, 9AM IST

How data can easily mislead you!

The increase in the number of Covid-19 cases in India, is shown in the graph above. At first sight you may find yourself concerned about this high exponential growth in covid +ve cases, but wait let me share one more graph with you...

Here you can clearly see that increase in the number of cases are directly linked with the increase in the number of tests cundected in a day
, **the one unit test in this graph is referred as average number of tests conducted in last 86 days(reverse counting from 06/15/2020), and the 1 unit of +ve case is referred as average number of
positive cases found in last 86 days.** Graph is drawn, based on the variation of the number of tests conducted and positive cases in terms of unit defined earlier.
What this graph is telling you: The amount of increase in the number of tests, is almost equal to the amount of increase in the number of people tested positive with
coronavirus. **In simple language: Growth in cases of coronavirus in India, is linear and not exponential.** It is actually the growth in the number of tests
which is exponential, creating an illusion of growth in covid-19 cases being exponential.
**A bad spike:** there is an upward trend in the number
of covid-19 +ve cases in comparison of **growth in number of tests performed**, if you notice last 4-5 days.

Change in: percentage of people tested positive out of total number of people getting tested in a day

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

X-Axis unit: one day, Y-Axis unit: %ge of people getting virus out of total number of people getting tested in one day.

Govt is claiming a linear progression, but data is exposing govt, and reflecting the inconsistency a clear indication that the current testing sample size is lower than what we need and that is why we are having this inconsistent data! We are witnessing a sudden spike which is not a good sign!
**(Calculations were done by me [rohit yadav]. You are free to use this data, I'll not claim copyright)**

How the values on Y-Axis of the graph above, is changing in month of April: from 01/04/2020 to 27/04/2020

Even if we are having inconsistent linear progression, we should not be feeling good about it. A linear progression means a continuous increase in the number of cases. Though its impact is less than that of exponential increase but in the long run even linear progression is bad, as we can not afford a consistent increase of burden in our healthcare system. Recovery rate is good in India but the only indication of success is: the slope of increase in the recovery rate being higher than that of rate of increase in the number of people getting Covid-19 out of the number of people getting tested in a day!**(Graphics created by me [rohit yadav]. You are free to use this data, I'll not claim copyright)**

Burden on healthcare system is creating problems for Delhi and Mumbai residents

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

We are witnessing a significant spike in the burden of healthcare system indicator, which is not a good sign , first 15 days of may 2020 were extremely crucial, and it looks like govt dodged this opportunity, healthcare system of Mumbai and Delhi is dealing with extream pressure, we can not afford this situation to rapidly span across India. **(Graphics created by me [rohit yadav]. You are free to use this data, I'll not claim copyright)**

So far, lockdown in India is helping India.(productive for govt, destructive for poor)

Last updated: June , 9AM IST

Out of total number of tests conducted in past 86 days, percentage of tests(in 24 hours period) is now moving towards saturation!

Attack on healthcare workers

The order comes after the Indian Medical Association (IMA), the largest national body representing healthcare workers, threatened to stage nationwide protests over the attacks on their members. A letter calling 22 April and 05/23/2020 as protest days described the incident involving the doctor denied a funeral in Chennai as “the last straw”.Read article

Virus, Islamophobia & media

In India, where the politically dominant Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has increasingly launched dogwhistle attacks on Muslims since being reelected with a massive majority in April last year, the coronavirus is just “one more opportunity to cast the Muslim as the other, as dangerous,” says Ali, the professor.Read article

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